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Strategic foresight

Strategic Foresight Intensive

Anticipate disruption, challenge assumptions and make better strategic decisions.

Strategic Foresight Intensive

Program overview

Financial services leaders face accelerating change in technology, customer expectations, business models, and the wider economy. The challenge is not to predict one future, but to understand what may be changing, test assumptions, and make thoughtful decisions while the path ahead remains uncertain.

This one-day experience brings together perspectives on exponential change, strategic foresight, frontier AI, and the future of finance. Senior leaders explore what these developments could mean for their industry, then use a practical Futures Wheel exercise to examine potential consequences and questions for their own organizations.

Who it’s for: Executive committees, banking and insurance leaders, strategy and innovation executives, and senior teams navigating changes in financial services.

Format

One-day executive strategy intensive, in person. Designed for senior leaders in banking and financial services, and adaptable to other industries.

Singularity combines expert-led sessions, peer dialogue, and hands-on application. Examples and the Futures Wheel scenario are tailored to the client’s sector, priorities, and strategic questions.

Themes and topics

The learning journey moves leaders from challenging assumptions to exploring possible futures, seeing the next frontier, rethinking finance, and mapping the implications. It is built on four design principles:

  • Make the future tangible and relevant
  • Challenge assumptions without claiming to predict the future
  • Use technology as a starting point for strategic discussion
  • Give leaders a practical tool they can use again
01

Exponential mindset

Challenge assumptions about the pace of change in financial services.

02

Future scenarios

Explore alternative futures and the signals that matter.

03

Physical AI

Explore an emerging frontier and its broader implications.

04

Future of finance

Consider emerging financial models and institutional choices.

05

Futures Wheel

Map cascading implications and identify strategic questions to pursue.

Objectives and outcomes

Learning objectives

  • Challenge linear assumptions and recognize how exponential change may reshape financial services.
  • Use foresight and future scenarios to explore uncertainty and consider alternative paths.
  • Explore physical AI as a tangible frontier technology, looking beyond immediate applications to wider implications.
  • Examine emerging financial models and infrastructure, including opportunities and risks for established institutions.
  • Apply the Futures Wheel to a relevant strategic question and identify signals, assumptions, and next steps.

Tangible takeaways

  • A broader perspective on exponential change, emerging AI, and the future of financial services.
  • Exposure to scenario thinking and a completed Futures Wheel on a relevant industry development.
  • A shortlist of strategic questions, assumptions to test, and signals to monitor.
  • A practical foresight tool leaders can use with their own teams.

Agenda

The agenda combines four distinct expert perspectives with facilitated discussion and a hands-on foresight exercise. Recommended faculty and sessions are illustrative and subject to availability.

DAY 01

Intro to exponentials

Aaron Frank (facilitator)

Challenge familiar assumptions about the pace and impact of technological change. Through examples and executive discussion, consider how exponential developments could affect the financial sector and which questions deserve closer attention.

Foresight and future scenarios

Andrea Geremicca

Explore how strategic foresight and scenarios can help leaders prepare for multiple plausible futures rather than rely on a single forecast. Consider how to recognize signals, test assumptions, and use alternative futures to inform decisions today.

The next AI

Hod Lipson

Explore how AI is moving beyond software into physical intelligence and robotics. Concrete examples make the technology tangible, while discussion considers broader implications for autonomy, infrastructure, operations, and customer experiences, even in industries that do not build robots.

The future of finance: when TradFi and DeFi disappear

Karine Arama

Explore how the boundaries between traditional and decentralized finance may change, and what emerging technologies could mean for financial infrastructure, value creation, competition, and trust. Discuss the strategic questions this raises for established institutions.

Using the Futures Wheel to make sense of the hype

Aaron Frank (facilitator)

In a hands-on closing workshop, teams apply the Futures Wheel to a financial-services development relevant to their organization, for example AI agents independently initiating and executing transactions. Map first- and second-order effects, compare opportunities and risks, and identify assumptions and signals worth following.

END OF DAY ONE
DAY 02
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DAY 03
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DAY 04
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DAY 05
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DAY 06

Introduction to Exponentials

(presented by facilitator)

Thinking exponentially is core to everything we teach at Singularity, this means that we start with showing how each year the power and/or speed of technology is doubling and/or the cost is dropping by half. Getting into the mindset of thinking exponentially is a fundamental first step for projecting into the future. During this session participants will not just understand the basic definition of exponential growth, but dive into its implications, and shift from a linear way of thinking to an exponential one.

We typically overestimate growth in the short term, and underestimate it in the long term due to the deceptive nature of exponential growth. Because computational technologies (including artificial intelligence, biotechnologies, advanced manufacturing, and more) progress exponentially, its growth and adoption can be surprising. As these technologies continue to democratize, access to use them becomes more widespread and more and more people, companies, and industries will have a role to play in how they’re leveraged.This session will prepare you for thinking about these growth patterns, how they apply to your industry, and what role you can play in their use.

Creating Impact in an Exponential world

The world around us is changing at an exponential pace. From climate change to water to hunger, global issues are becoming more challenging and growing faster than traditional organizations are able to manage. What does it mean to create impact in this new environment? And how can you, as one of today's most capable leaders, define your own massive transformative purpose?

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DAY 07
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